高质量发展背景下区域绿色物流水平评价及障碍因子

Evaluation and Obstacle Factors of Regional Green Logistics Level under the Background of the High-quality Development

在对高质量发展、绿色物流等相关文献分析基础上,构建高质量发展下绿色物流水平评价指标体系,提出TOPSIS—云PDR多准则决策方法对2011—2020年中国省域绿色物流发展水平进行实证研究,并诊断关键障碍因子。结果表明:(1)省域绿色物流水平存在显著差异但在功能、结构、运作维度下发展趋势良好,在时间上呈现先下降后波动上升的趋势,拐点出现在高质量发展理念提出之后,沿海地区发展稳定性较强,在空间上表现为东高西低的空间发展格局及辐射式演化特征;(2)绿色物流发展的障碍因素在研究期内较为稳定,障碍度由大到小依次是运作维度、结构维度、功能维度,排名前五位的二级指标分别是科技投入占比、货物周转量、货物进出口总额占比、人均GDP和物流业固定资产投资,不同维度下区域间障碍度差异显著。根据研究结论,从“运作—结构”协同发展、加强区域经济联动、制定特色发展规划方面提出高质量发展背景下省域绿色物流水平提升建议。

Based on the analysis of relevant literatures on high-quality development and green logistics,this article constructs the evaluation index system of green logistics level under the high-quality development,uses the TOPSIS-cloud PDR multi-criteria decision-making method to empirically study the development level of China's provincial green logistics from 2011 to 2020,and identifies the key obstacle factors.The results show that:1)There are significant differences in the level of green logistics among provinces,but the development trend is positive in the dimensions of function,structure and operation.In terms of time,it shows a trend of decreasing first and then fluctuating upward.The inflection point appears after the concept of high-quality development is put forward.The development stability is strong in coastal areas,it shows the characteristics of radiation and uneven spatial development pattern which is higher in the east than that in the west.2)The obstacle factors of green logistics development are relatively stable during the research period.The obstacle degree from large to small is the operation dimension,the structure dimension and the function dimension.The top five secondary indicators are the ratio of science and technology investment to GDP,the turnover of goods,the ratio of total import and export of goods to GDP,per capita GDP and fixed asset investment in logistics industry.According to the research conclusions,this paper puts forward suggestions for improving the level of provincial green logistics under the high-quality development from the aspects of'operation-structure'coordinated development,strengthening regional economic linkage and formulating characteristic development plans.