长江经济带绿色物流与绿色经济协调发展研究

Study on the Coordinated Development of Green Logistics and Green Economy in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

文章以2010—2020年长江经济带11个省市为研究对象,运用耦合协调度模型、核密度估计和地理探测器模型分析了绿色物流与绿色经济协调发展的动态演进特征和驱动因素。结果表明:2010—2020年长江经济带绿色物流与绿色经济之间耦合协调度总体呈现稳步增长趋势,实现了从勉强协调等级向初级协调等级的转变;研究期内,长江经济带下游地区的协调发展水平处于领先地位,且各地区耦合协调度的空间分异特征显著,整体上呈现“东高西低”“北高南低”的空间分布格局;科技创新、城镇化水平和政府支持是影响两系统协调发展空间分异的主要驱动因子,且多数因子在与其他因子叠加后会产生双因子增强作用。由此,文章提出了推进长江经济带绿色物流与绿色经济协调发展的政策建议。

Taking 11 provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2010 to 2020 as research objects,this paper analyzes the dynamic evolution characteristics and driving factors of the coordinated development of green logistics and green economy by using the coupling coordination degree model,Kernel density estimation,and geographical detector model.The results indicate that the overall coupling coordination degree between green logistics and green economy in the Yangtze River Economic Belt showing a steady growth trend from 2010 to 2020,and achieving a transition from a barely coordinated level to a primary coordinated level;during the research period,the coordinated development level of the lower reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Belt is in a leading position,and the spatial differentiation of the coupling coordination degree among different regions is significant.Overall,the spatial distribution pattern shows"high in the east and low in the west"and"high in the north and low in the south";technological innovation,urbanization level,and government support are the main driving factors affecting the spatial differentiation of coordinated development between the two systems,and most factors will have a dual factor enhancement effect when combined with other factors.Based on this,this paper proposes policy recommendations to promote the coordinated development of green logistics and green economy in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.