农业产业集聚、农民增收与共同富裕——基于山东省地级市面板数据的空间计量分析

Agricultural and Industrial Agglomeration,Farmers’Income Increase and Common Prosperity--Spatial Econometric Analysis Based on the Panel Data of Prefecture-level Cities in Shandong Province

本文利用山东省地级市2010—2019年面板数据,运用空间计量方法,探讨了山东省农业产业集聚与农民增收的关系。首先,山东省农民收入存在较强的空间集聚效应,农业产业集聚明显的结论,山东省16个地级市中,有12个地级市的局部莫兰指数明显。其次,农业产业集聚可以显著促进农民增收,进而实现共同富裕。最后,农业种植面积和农业产出对农民增收的影响效果不显著。

This paper explores the relationship between agricultural and industrial agglomeration and farmers’income increase in Shandong Province using panel data from 2010 to 2019 for prefecture-level cities in Shandong Province,using spatial econometric methods.Firstly,there is a strong spatial agglomeration effect on farmers’income in Shandong Province,and the agricultural and industrial agglomeration is obvious,and the local Moran index is obvious in 12 of 16 prefecture-level cities in Shandong Province.Secondly,it is found that agricultural and industrial agglomeration can significantly promote farmers’income,thus contributing to the realization of common prosperity.Finally,the effects of agricultural cultivation area and agricultural output on farmers’income increase were insignificant.