人力资本培育与经济增长的耦合协调研究——以西藏地区为例

Research on the coupling and coordination of human capital cultivation and economic growth——Taking Xizang region as an example

党的十九届五中全会提出2035远景目标。但面对现如今人口负增长以及人口红利的下降,寻找新时代我国经济发展新动力成为焦点。本文基于2012—2021年西藏地区时间序列数据,建立了人力资本培育和经济增长评价指标体系,并运用熵值法和耦合协调度模型研究了西藏地区人力资本培育与经济增长的耦合协调关系及影响因素。研究发现:近十年西藏地区人力资本培育和经济增长的耦合度一直超过0.9且耦合协调度水平总体呈平稳上升趋势。但其人力资本培育依旧存在基础设施薄弱、教育质量缺乏等问题。对此,西藏地区应当加强基础设施建设、协调分配教育经费,提高师资力量等,促进西藏地区经济进一步发展。

The 5th Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee of the CPC proposed the vision goal of 2035.However,in the face of the negative population growth and the decline of demographic dividend,it has become a focus to find new impetus for China’s economic development in the new era.Based on the time series data of Xizang from 2012 to 2021,this paper establishes an evaluation index system of human capital cultivation and economic growth,and uses entropy method and coupling coordination degree model to study the coupling coordination relationship between human capital cultivation and economic growth in Xizang and its influencing factors.The results show that the coupling degree of human capital cultivation and economic growth in Xizang region has exceeded 0.9 in the past ten years,and the coupling coordination degree has a steady upward trend in general.However,its human capital cultivation still has some problems such as weak infrastructure and lack of education quality.In this regard,Xizang should strengthen the construction of infrastructure,coordinate the allocation of educational funds,improve the quality of teachers,etc.,to promote the region’s further economic development.