制度环境对贸易高质量发展的影响机制分析

An Analysis of the Influence Mechanism of Institutional Environment on the High-Quality Development of Trade

基于2007—2019年89个国家面板数据,借助固定效应模型和系统GMM模型实证检验制度环境对贸易高质量发展的影响。研究结果表明:第一,制度环境与贸易高质量发展间存在显著的倒“U”型关系,良好的制度环境建设有助于推动贸易发展,而随着制度环境逐步完善,对贸易高质量发展由促进作用转变为抑制作用。第二,制度环境通过作用于人力资本和产业结构进而影响贸易高质量发展。

Based on the panel data of 89 countries from 2007 to 2019,an empirical test is conducted to examine the impact of institutional environment on high-quality development of trade with the help of fixed effect model and systematic GMM model.The research results show that:firstly,there is an obvious inverted u-shaped relationship between institutional environment and high-quality development of trade.A good institutional environment helps to promote the development of trade.The gradual improvement of the institutional environment enables the high-quality development of trades to turn promoting effect into the inhibiting effect.Secondly,the institutional environment can affect the high-quality development of trade by acting on the human resource and industrial structure.