互联网生态下舆情对粮食安全的影响

The Impact of Public Opinion on Food Security under the Internet Ecology

新冠肺炎疫情(以下简称“疫情”)在全球爆发后,引发一些粮食主要生产国限制出口,还有一些国家对国际贸易增设壁垒、阻断物流,导致良好的全球粮食供需关系被扭曲,全球粮价出现暴涨,引发各国政府和民众对粮食安全的高度关注。影响粮食安全的传统因素包括实际的产量、库存量、消费量、贸易量的增减变化,引发供需关系变化,并作用于价格。在互联网高度发达的背景下,上述信息经互联网传播发酵后,会形成一定规模的社会舆情,其传播效应甚至扭曲短期的供需关系和价格,也是影响粮食安全的重要因素。本文以疫情期间国际国内的几次涉粮舆情为例,分析互联网生态下舆情对粮食安全的影响,提出粮食安全基础仍需持续夯实,并要正确认识常态与极限思维下安全的关系、微观安全与宏观安全的关系、现在安全与未来安全的关系,持续做好互联网下的信息发布与舆情管理等方面的建议,为把握住正向引导预期、管理舆情主动权提供参考。

After the global outbreak of the COVID-19(hereinafter referred to as the"epidemic"),some major food producing countries have restricted exports,and some countries have added barriers to international trade and blocked logistics,leading to the distortion of healthy global food supply and demand relations,and the global food price has soared,causing governments and people of all countries to pay close attention to food security.The traditional factors that affect food security include changes in actual production,stock,consumption,and trade volume,which trigger changes in supply and demand relationships and affect prices.In the context of highly developed internet,the above factors,after being disseminated and fermented through the internet,will form a certain scale of social public opinion,and its dissemination effect may even distort short-term supply and demand relationships and prices,which is also an important factor affecting food security.This article takes several international and domestic food related public opinion events during the epidemic as examples to analyze the impact of public opinion on food security under the Internet ecosystem.It proposes that the foundation of food security still needs to be continuously strengthened,and that the relationship between normal and extreme thinking security,micro security and macro security,the relationship between current security and future security,and the continuous improvement of information dissemination and public opinion management under the Internet should be addressed,To provide reference for grasping the positive guidance expectations and managing the initiative of public opinion.