考虑新发展形势的广西负荷特性关键影响因素分析

Analysis of Key Influence Factors of Load Characteristics in Guangxi Considering the New Development Situation

为准确把握广西负荷特性及其变化规律,全面搜集和整理广西国民经济发展、历史用电情况、气候气象等方面的历史统计数据,分析城镇化率、经济总量及增速、产业结构、重点行业发展等方面因素对广西历史负荷特性指标的影响,识别出关键影响因素。分析电能替代、需求侧管理、电动汽车、综合能源、储能等加快发展条件下广西负荷特性关键因素变化趋势。

In order to accurately grasp the load characteristics of Guangxi and their variation rules,historical statistical data of Guangxi's national economic development,historical electricity consumption,climate and meteorology and other aspects are comprehensively collected and organized.Influence factors such as urbanization rate,economic aggregate and growth rate,industrial structure,and development of key industries on the historical load characteristics indicators of Guangxi are analyzed,and the key influence factors are identified.The changing trend of key factors of load characteristics in Guangxi under accelerated development conditions such as electricity substitution,demand side management,electric vehicles,integrated energy,and energy storage are analyzed.