我国居民消费结构升级与现代服务业协同发展关系研究——以陕西省居民为例

Research on the Relationship Between the Upgrading of Residents'Consumption Structure and the Coordinated Development of Modern Service Industry in China--A Case Study of Residents in Shaanxi Province

文章建立了居民消费结构升级和现代服务业发展评价指标体系,选用综合评价方法计算现代服务业综合发展水平,运用耦合协调度模型,选取2011—2021年数据,实证研究了陕西省农村居民消费结构升级、城镇居民消费结构升级和现代服务业协同发展的关系。研究表明:陕西省农村居民消费结构升级、城镇居民消费结构升级和现代服务业发展的协同程度仍有很大的提升空间,其协同发展处于初级协调状态,还未达到中级协调状态;因果检验结果可知,陕西省农村居民消费结构升级与现代服务业发展不存在显著的因果关系,而现代服务业发展对城镇居民消费结构升级有影响作用,城镇居民消费结构升级对现代服务业发展不存在明显影响作用。

This study establishes an evaluation index system to assess the upgrading of residents'consumption structure and the development of the modern service industry.Employing a comprehensive evaluation method,we calculate the comprehensive development level of the modern service industry.Utilizing the coupling coordination degree model and utilizing data from 2011 to 2021,this research empirically examines the relationship between the upgrading of rural and urban residents'consumption structures and the coordinated development of the modern service industry in Shaanxi Province.The findings highlight the significant potential for improving the degree of coordination between the upgrading of rural and urban residents consumption structures and the development of the modern service industry in Shaanxi Province.The current state of coordinated development is at a primary coordination level and has not yet reached the intermediate coordination stage.Moreover,the results of causality tests indicate the absence of a significant causal relationship between the upgrading of rural residents'consumption structure and the development of the modern service industry in Shaanxi Province.However,the development of the modern service industry does influence the upgrading of urban residents'consumption structure,while the upgrading of urban residents'consumption structure does not have a significant impact on the development of the modern service industry.