基于ANFIS方法的道路塌陷预测

Road collapse prediction based on ANFIS method

以近年全国道路塌陷事故为研究对象,采用ANFIS法探讨如何提前通过观察来预测道路塌陷风险,观测过程中主要参数有内部管道渗漏影响因素、外部水流冲刷影响因素、道路承压影响因素及路面沉降影响因素,通过研究该4项影响因素,建立道路塌陷的预测模型,并对该模型进行优化,以期得到最佳预测结果,从而减少道路塌陷带来的事故风险。

Taking the national road collapse accidents in recent years as the research object,the ANFIS method is used to discuss how to predict the road collapse risk through observation in advance.The main parameters in the observation process are the factors affecting the leakage of internal pipelines,the factors affecting the external water flow scouring,the factors affecting the road pressure and the road surface.By studying the four influencing factors,a prediction model of road collapse is established,and the model is optimized to obtain the best prediction results,thereby reducing the risk of accidents caused by road collapse.