“十四五”后三年中国经济走势展望

Prospect for China's Economy in the Last Three Years of the"14th Five-Year Plan"

“十四五”前两年,我国经济在国际政治动荡加剧、疫情持续冲击、全球产业链供应链调整等严峻复杂环境下,承压运行。展望2023—2025年,我国经济仍面临地缘政治角力加剧、世界经济下行风险、外贸环境变化、国内房地产走势、消费恢复程度和节奏等诸多不确定因素,但我国坚定推进高质量发展,宏观政策协同发力,经济有望向5%~6%的潜在增速水平回归。

In the first two years of the"14th Five-Year Plan",China's economic moved forward under pressure,with the severe and complex environments such as intensified international political turmoil,sustained impact of the domestic epidemic,global industrial and supply chain adjustments.Looking forward to 2023-2025,China's economy will still face the increased geopolitical competition,risks of global economic downturn,changes in foreign trade environment,domestic real estate trends,degree and pace of consumption recovery and other uncertainties.However,with China firmly promoting high-quality development and coordinated macroeconomic policies,the national economy is expected to return to a potential economic growth rate of 5% to 6%.