俄乌冲突背景下俄罗斯顶级智库涉华评论主题和情感分析

Theme and Sentimental Analysis of Comments on China of Top Russian Think Tank in the Context of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict

[研究目的]俄乌冲突爆发后,世界政治格局面临重组。了解冲突前后俄罗斯智库对华研究主题和情感评价,为中国在大国博弈中做出正确决策提供情报支持。[研究方法]本研究选取冲突前后俄顶级智库“世界经济与国际关系研究所”涉华评论为语料,翻译校对后获得txt中文文本和俄文语料库,运用ROST CM、Sketch Engine从批评话语视角对比冲突前后俄涉华评论主题,并使用SPSS和Excel(MBI)从文本例证角度析出冲突前后俄对华情感倾向。[研究结论]研究表明,冲突前,俄智库研究主题围绕大国关系、经济发展和政治博弈展开,中国处于其“东西兼顾”战略中的一方;冲突后,俄智库关注国家立场、美西方制裁及与非西方国家的合作,中国战略地位升级;冲突前后俄对华情感均为积极态度。

[Research purpose]After the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict,the international political situation is facing restructuring.Understanding the theme and sentiment of comments on China of Russian think tank before and after the Russia-Ukraine conflict can provide information support for China to make correct decisions in the Great Power game.[Research method]By selecting the comments on China in Russian,translating into Chinese from the top think tank“IMEMO”as research materials.By using ROST CM and Sketch Engine the research compares the themes of comments from the perspective of CDA.By using SPSS and Excel(MBI)the research analyzes the sentiment of Russia on China from the perspective of text examples.[Research conclusion]This study shows that,before the Russia-Ukraine conflict,the research themes focus on the relationship between major countries,economic development and political game.China is on one side of Russia's“east and west”strategy.After the conflict,the research themes pay attention to the national position,the US and Western sanctions and the cooperation with non-Western countries.China's strategic position has been upgraded.Russia has always held a positive attitude towards China.