新兴技术作用下未来城市空间的碳减排效益研究综述

Research Review on Benefits of Carbon Emission Reduction in Future Urban Space Under the Impact of Emerging Technologies

在数字化转型的时代背景下,新兴技术与城市空间结合有望解决城市长期以来的交通拥堵、环境污染、能源浪费等问题,促进城乡建设中“双碳”目标的达成。现有研究主要关注技术驱动下新城市空间的改变,缺乏其对城市碳减排效益的关注和系统性的梳理。因此,文章通过系统性文献综述的方法,在Web of Science(WOS)数据库中筛选出111篇文献,并分别在城市结构和城市居住、工作、交通、休闲四大功能空间综述科技发展对城市碳排放的影响。研究表明:①74%的文献认为新技术将有助于实现未来城市空间碳排放的减少;②线上线下结合的混合办公模式与共享出行等新型交通方式将为未来城市空间带来较高的碳减排效益;③新兴技术对城市碳排放的影响存在反弹效应,这会削减其带来的碳减排效益,需要进行综合考虑。最后,文章总结了新兴技术对未来城市空间碳排放的影响路径,有助于实现未来城市的低碳可持续发展。

In the era of digital transformation,the combination of emerging technologies and urban space is expected to solve the long-standing problems in cities such as traffic congestion,environmental pollution,and energy waste,leading to the achievement of the dual carbon targets in urban and rural development.Previous studies mainly focused on the technology-driven transition of urban spaces,lacking a systematic evaluation of the benefits of urban carbon emission reduction.Therefore,this paper selects 111 papers from the Web of Science(WOS)database through a systematic literature review and then examines the impact of technological advancement on carbon emissions in the urban structure and the four urban functions of dwelling,work,transportation,and recreation respectively.It is found that:(1)74%of the studies believe that new technologies will contribute to the carbon emission reduction in the future urban space;(2)the combination of online and offline hybrid office modes as well as new transportation modes including shared travel will bring more carbon emission reduction benefits to the future urban space;(3)a rebound effect exists in the impact of emerging technologies on urban carbon emissions,which will reduce their carbon emission reduction benefits and need to be considered comprehensively.Finally,this paper summarizes the impact paths of emerging technologies on future urban space’s carbon emissions,which will help to achieve low-carbon sustainable development in future cities.