数字经济驱动农业高质量发展:内在机制与经验证据

Digital Economy Promotes High-Quality Agricultural Development:Internal Mechanism and Empirical Evidence

数字经济是中国经济社会发展的新动能,对农业高质量发展具有重要意义。文章对数字经济驱动农业高质量发展机制进行理论分析,基于2011—2020年中国31个省份面板数据分别测算数字经济和农业高质量发展的水平,分析农业高质量发展水平的动态演变及空间格局特征,通过实证检验数字经济对农业高质量发展的驱动机制、异质性、门槛效应和空间溢出效应。得出以下结论:从整体看,数字经济能够显著驱动农业高质量发展,在考虑内生性和稳健性后依然成立,其中农业技术进步和农村金融是数字经济驱动农业高质量发展的重要路径;从区域看,相较中、东部地区,西部地区数字经济为农业发展带来的红利较小;从空间看,数字经济能促进毗邻地区农业高质量发展;此外,数字经济对农业高质量发展的驱动效应存在双重门槛,在跨越门槛后,数字经济对农业高质量发展的影响效果显著提高。因此,要继续加强数字经济基础设施建设,注重农业技术进步与农村金融的作用,释放数字经济发展潜力,助推农业高质量发展。

The digital economy is a new driving force for China’s economic and social development,and it holds significant importance for the high-quality development of agriculture.This article provides a theoretical analysis of the mechanism through which the digital economy drives the high-quality development of agriculture.It utilizes panel data from 31 provinces in China spanning the period from 2011 to 2020 to assess the levels of the digital economy and high-quality agricultural development.The article analyzes the dynamic evolution and spatial pattern characteristics of high-quality agricultural development and empirically examines the driving mechanisms,heterogeneity,threshold effects,and spatial spillover effects of the digital economy on high-quality agricultural development.The following conclusions are drawn:overall,the digital economy significantly drives the high-quality development of agriculture,and this relationship still holds after considering endogeneity and robustness.Agricultural technological progress and rural finance are identified as important pathways through which the digital economy drives high-quality agricultural development.In terms of regional disparities,the western region experiences a smaller dividend from the digital economy in terms of agricultural development compared to the central and eastern regions.From a spatial perspective,the digital economy promotes high-quality agricultural development in neighboring regions.Finally,the impact of the digital economy on high-quality agricultural development exhibits a dual threshold effect,and once the threshold is crossed,the influence of the digital economy on high-quality agricultural development significantly improves.Therefore,it is necessary to continue strengthening the infrastructure of the digital economy,focus on the role of agricultural technological progress and rural finance,unleash the potential of digital economic development,and facilitate the high-quality development of agriculture.