工业经济转型期间碳排放时空特征及影响因素分析

Analysis of the Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of Carbon Emissions during the Transformation of Industrial Economy and the Influencing Factors

为探究工业经济转型期间碳排放时空特征及影响因素,以某地区在工业经济转型期间碳排放数据为依托,从空间转移特征和时间演化特征角度分析得出,不同时段的碳排放的空间分异有逐渐加大的趋势;高碳工业和低碳工业的碳排放量增加和减少的幅度有很大的差别。通过对影响因素分析得出,能源消耗的强度、工业化发展水平、能源消费结构等因素都与碳排放呈显著的正向相关关系,而生产力水平、工业研发投入等与碳排放呈显著负相关关系。通过研究为促进地区工业经济转型和可持续发展提供重要依据。

In order to investigate the spatial and temporal characteristics of carbon emissions and the influencing factors during the industrial economic transformation,based on the data of carbon emissions in a certain region during the industrial economic transformation,we analyzed the spatial shift characteristics and temporal evolution characteristics and concluded that the spatial divergence of carbon emissions in different time periods tends to increase gradually;the magnitude of carbon emissions increase and decrease in high-carbon and low-carbon industries is very different.The analysis of the influencing factors shows that the intensity of energy consumption,the level of industrialisation and the structure of energy consumption are all significantly and positively correlated with carbon emissions,while the level of productivity and industrial R&D investment are significantly and negatively correlated with carbon emissions.The study provides an important basis for promoting the transformation and sustainable development of regional industrial economies.