黑龙江省新发传染病预防控制能力影响因素分析

Analysis of Influencing Factors of Prevention and Control Capacity of Emerging Infectious Diseases in Heilongjiang Based on Grey Correlation Analysis

目的:分析黑龙江省新发传染病预防控制能力的影响因素,为提升当地新发传染病应急处置水平提供借鉴意义。方法:对2002-2020年的数据进行研究分析,通过文献梳理,选取社会环境、管理运行机制、资源配置等8项指标,运用灰色关联分析各影响因素与新发传染病预防控制能力的关联程度。结果:管理运行机制与黑龙江省新发传染病预防控制能力的关联程度最大(关联度为0.944),把握公众需要与黑龙江省新发传染病预防控制能力的关联程度最小(关联度为0.608)。剖析管理运行机制各指标显示,管理与监控机制健全程度与新发传染病预防控制能力的关联程度最大(关联度为0.989);剖析管理与监控机制健全程度各指标显示,管理与监控机制齐全程度与新发传染病预防控制能力的关联程度最大(关联度为0.762)。结论:管理运行机制因素对黑龙江省新发传染病预防控制能力发挥着显著作用,而把握公众需要对新发传染病预防控制能力的影响相对最低。明确各部门职责或将成为提升黑龙江省新发传染病预防控制能力的重要途径。

Objective:To analyze the influencing factors of the prevention and control capacity of emerging infectious diseases,and to provide a reference for improving the emergency response level of emerging infectious diseases in Heilongjiang.Methods:This study analyzed the data from 2002 to 2020.Through literature review,we selected eight indicators such as social environment,management and operation mechanism,and resource allocation,etc.The grey correlation was used to analyze the correlation between the influencing factors and the prevention and control capacity of emerging infectious diseases.Results:The management and operation mechanism had the greatest correlation with the prevention and control capacity of emerging infectious diseases in Heilongjiang(The correlation degree was 0.944).Grasping the public needs had the least correlation with the prevention and control capacity of emerging infectious diseases in Heilongjiang(The correlation degree was 0.608).Analysis of the management and operation mechanism indicators showed that the soundness of management and monitoring mechanism had the greatest correlation with the prevention and control capacity of emerging infectious diseases(The correlation degree was 0.989).Analysis of the soundness of management and monitoring mechanism indicators showed that the completeness of management and monitoring mechanism had the greatest correlation with the prevention and control capacity of emerging infectious diseases(The correlation degree was 0.762).Conclusion:Management and operation mechanism factor plays a significant role in the prevention and control capacity of emerging infectious diseases in Heilongjiang,while grasping the public needs has the lowest impact on the prevention and control capacity of emerging infectious diseases.Specifically,clarifying the responsibilities of various departments may become an important way to improve the prevention and control capacity of emerging infectious diseases in Heilongjiang.