城乡融合发展对农民收入增长的影响及异质性分析

The impact of integrated urban-rural development on farmers′income growth and heterogeneity analysis

基于2006—2019年我国30个省份(港澳台地区及西藏除外)的面板数据,实证分析城乡融合发展对农民收入增长的影响及其异质性,并利用调节效应模型对其影响机制进行分析。结果表明:城乡融合发展对农民收入增长具有显著的正向效应;且这种正向效应存在明显的区域异质性、农民收入水平的异质性及城乡融合各维度的异质性;经济发展水平和产业结构升级水平的提升在城乡融合发展促进农民收入增长的过程中具有正向调节作用。因此,要加强城乡融合的方向性引导,因地制宜地促进区域城乡融合发展,夯实经济增长根基,加快产业升级步伐,充分发挥城乡融合发展的增收效应。

Based on panel data of 30 provinces(excluding Hong Kong,Macao,Taiwan and Tibet)in China from 2006 to 2019,this paper empirically examines the impact of integrated urban-rural development on farmers′income growth and its heterogeneity,and analyzes its impact mechanism by using the moderating effect model.The results show that integrated urban-rural development has a significant positive effect on farmers′income growth.Such positive effect is characterized by significant heterogeneity in different regions,heterogeneity in farmers′income levels,and heterogeneity in the dimensions of integrated urban-rural development.Economic development level and industrial structure upgrading play positive moderating effects in the process of integrated urban-rural development promoting farmers′income growth.Therefore,it is necessary to strengthen the directional guidance of urban-rural integration,promote integrated urban-rural development according to local conditions,consolidate the foundation of economic growth,accelerate the pace of industrial upgrading,and give full play to the income-growth effect of integrated urban-rural development.