县域物流产业发展对县域城镇化的影响分析

Analysis of the Impact of County Logistics Industry Development on County Urbanization

为了响应党的二十大报告中促进区域协调发展的新型城镇化战略,文章研究县域物流产业对县域城镇化的作用。选取2015—2020年全国范围内的县域数据,通过基准回归分析以及将交通基础设施作为调节变量分析后,得出结论:县域物流产业的发展对县域城镇化具有显著的促进作用,在东部地区的县域,县域物流产业发展对城镇化的作用更大,中部次之,西部较小;交通基础设施作为物流产业对城镇化的调节变量,在西部地区的作用最为明显,东部地区最弱。

This paper examines the role of the county logistics industry in county urbanization in response to the“new urbanization” strategy for coordinated regional development outlined in the Twenty Report of the Communist Party of China.Utilizing nationwide county-level data from 2015 to 2020,the study employs baseline regression analysis and investigates the influence of transport infrastructure as a moderating variable.The conclusions are drawn as follows:(1)The development of the county-level logistics industry significantly promotes county urbanization.The impact is most pronounced in the eastern region,followed by the central and western regions.(2)Transport infrastructure,as a moderating variable,exhibits the most notable effect on urbanization in the western region and the weakest effect in the eastern region.