我国私家车需求影响因素研究——以广东省为例

A Study on the Influencing Factors of China’s Private Car Demand——An Example from Guangdong Province

汽车工业作为我国支柱性产业之一,在快速发展的同时也存在着一些潜在问题。选取广东省19个地级市2010—2021年的相关数据为样本,以每万人私家车(轿车)拥有量作为汽车需求指标,深入分析了当前我国私家车(轿车)需求影响因素。研究发现,经济发展水平、城市化水平、居民生活水平等因素对私家车(轿车)需求具有显著的正向影响,而产业结构、户籍人口与常住人口的比值、经济对外开放程度等因素对私家车(轿车)需求的影响不显著。根据研究结论,从政府政策支持、企业经营决策等角度提出了促进汽车行业高质量发展的相关对策建议。

As one of the pillar industries in our country,the automobile industry also has some potential problems while it is developing rapidly.Taking the relevant data of 19 prefecture level cities in Guangdong Province as an example and the ownership of private cars(sedans)per 10000 people as the automobile demand index,this paper analyzes the influencing factors of current private car demand in China,The results show that,economic development level,urbanization level,living standard of urban residents have a significant positive correlation with automobile demand,while the ratio of registered residence population to permanent population,per capita GDP,economic external dependence have no significant relationship with automobile demand.,according to the conclusions of the study,some suggestions are put forward.