湖北省农业科技进步贡献率趋势、特征与提升研究

Research on the trend,characteristics and improvement of agricultural science and technology progress in Hubei Province

为了科学认识科技进步在农业经济发展中的作用,以湖北省为例,基于索洛增长模型和回归分析法,对2021年湖北省农业科技进步贡献率进行测算和分析,并对2022年和2023年湖北省农业科技进步贡献率进行预测。结果表明,湖北省农业科技进步贡献率持续保持上升趋势,显现出农业科技进步贡献率横向比较差距较大、农业物质投入边际报酬呈下降趋势、劳动力和土地要素的贡献率负增长等发展特征。为促进农业科技进步贡献率继续稳步增长,从农业科技转化投入、农业科技资源配置、人才队伍建设、农业技术推广体系和产业科技融入度5个方面提出了对策建议。

In order to scientifically understand the role of scientific and technological progress in the development of agricultural economy,taking Hubei Province as an example,based on Solow growth model and regression analysis method,the contribution rate of agricultural scientific and technological progress in Hubei Province in 2021 was calculated and analyzed,and the contribution rate of agricultural scientific and technological progress in Hubei Province in 2022 and 2023 was predicted.The results showed that the contribution rate of agricultural scientific and technological progress in Hubei Province continued to maintain an upward trend,showing the development characteristics of a large horizontal gap in the contribution rate of agricultural scientific and technological progress,a downward trend in the marginal return of agricultural material input,and a negative growth in the contribution rate of labor and land factors.In order to promote the contribution rate of agricultural science and technology progress to continue to grow steadily,countermeasures and suggestions were put forward from five aspects:Agricultural science and technology transformation input,agricultural science and technology resource allocation,talent team construction,agricultural technology extension system and industrial science and technology integration.