公共健康服务水平影响生育意愿吗?——基于准自然实验的证据

Does the Level of Public Health Services Affect Fertility Desire?——Evidence Based on Quasi Natural Experiment

充分发挥政府的公共健康服务水平、提高生育意愿是应对当前人口问题的重要举措。利用《“健康中国2030”规划纲要》构建准自然实验,采用中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)的数据,实证检验中国公共健康服务水平对个人生育意愿的影响。结果表明,公共健康服务水平对个人的生育意愿产生显著的正向影响,尤其是对低收入人群、受教育水平低的人群和城市居民影响更大。这一研究不仅为中国完善生育配套支持政策体系提供了可能的证据支持和政策参考,也是对已有文献的丰富和补充。

Fully leveraging the government’s public health services and increasing fertility desire is an important measure to address current population issues.A quasi-natural experiment was constructed based on the Outline of“Healthy China 2030”planing,and the data of China Family Tracking Survey(CFPS)was used to empirically test the effect of public health service level on individual fertility intention in China.The results indicate that the level of public health services has a significant positive impact on individual fertility intention,especially on low-income groups,groups with low education level and urban residents.This study not only provides possible evidence support and policy reference for China to improve the reproductive supporting policy system,but also enrichis and supplements the existing literature.