前沿技术、未来产业与产业主体--对未来产业几个关键问题的理解

Frontier Technology,Future Industries,and Industry Entities--Understanding Several Key Issues in Future Industries

未来产业是我国未来国民经济和产业体系中的核心部分,是面向未来中长期发展的新型产业群。今天布局的未来产业应该是未来15~30年之后替代今天的战略性新兴产业,进而成为那个时代的战略新型产业群。由于未来全球政治经济社会发展的变化、科学技术进步的速度以及未来产业主体的创新能力等均很难在今天一一预见判断,加之诸如前沿科学技术与未来产业的关系、科学技术和生产工艺技术等的创新协同以及未来产业的主体成长等问题尚待研究透彻,因此,在建设现代化产业体系的过程中,思考并布局未来产业务必审慎严谨,以免资源配置失误。

The future industry should be the core part of China's future national economy and industrial system,and it is a new type of industrial cluster that faces medium to long-term development after the strategic emerging industry array currently developed in China.The future industries laid out today should replace today's strategic emerging industries in the next 15-30 years and become the strategic new industrial cluster of that era.Due to the difficulties in predicting and judging the future changes in global political,economic and social development,the speed of scientific and technological progress,and the innovation capacity of future industry entities,as well as the need for thorough research on issues such as the relationship between cutting-edge science and technology and future industries,the innovation synergy between science and technology and production process technology,and the growth of future industry entities,in the process of building a modern industrial system,Thinking and planning for future production and business must be cautious and rigorous to avoid resource allocation errors.