数字经济对制造业产业链韧性的影响研究

Research on the Impact of Digital Economy on the Resilience of Manufacturing Industry Chain

选取中国2011一2020年的省级面板数据,实证检验数字经济对制造业产业链韧性的影响效应及作用机制。研究表明:数字经济对制造业产业链韧性具有显著促进作用,这一结论在经过内生性检验、稳健性检验后依旧成立;数字经济对制造业产业链韧性的促进作用在2016年后、盈利能力较强产业链、技术密集型产业链以及东部地区更为明显。机制检验结果显示,数字经济可通过促进产业结构升级、提升资源配置效率两条路径间接影响制造业产业链韧性。据此,应多措并举推动数字经济高质量发展、制定制造业产业链针对性发展战略、打造制造业产业链韧性提升“直通道”。

Based on the provincial panel data of China from 2011 to 2020,this paper empirically tests the impact of digital economy on the resilience of manufacturing industry chain and its mechanism.The research shows that the digital economy has a significant role in promoting the resilience of the manufacturing industry chain,which is still true after the endogenous test and robustness test.The promotion of digital economy on the resilience of manufacturing industry chain is more obvious in the industrial chain with strong profitability,technology intensive industrial chain and the eastern region after 2016.The mechanism test results show that the digital economy can indirectly affect the resilience of the manufacturing industry chain by promoting the upgrading of the industrial structure and improving the efficiency of resource allocation.Therefore,it is proposed to promote the high-quality development of the digital economy,formulate targeted development strategies for the manufacturing industry chain,and create a"direct channel"for enhancing the resilience of the manufacturing industry chain.