基于多元回归的出租车事故风险因素分析

Analysis of taxi accident risk factors based on multiple regression

近年来,由于出租车伤亡事故率不断增加,分析出租车交通伤亡事故的影响因素,降低出租车交通事故率显得十分重要。本文将出租车交通事故的影响因素分为人的因素、物的因素、环境因素和管理因素4类。通过统计分析出租车的伤亡事故数据,利用多元Logistic回归模型进行分析,将人的因素、物的因素、环境因素和管理因素作为自变量,建立了出租车伤亡事故影响因素回归模型,利用似然比检验得出了人的因素和管理因素对发生出租车伤亡事故的显著水平小于0.05,而物的因素和环境因素对发生出租车伤亡事故的显著水平大于0.05。结果表明,人的因素和管理因素对发生出租车伤亡事故有着显著影响,而环境因素和车辆设备因素对发生出租车伤亡事故影响较小,其中监管不力、疲劳驾驶和未系安全带是引发出租车伤亡事故的主要原因,政府和相关部门应该对这些方面加强整治和管理,以期减少和预防出租车交通事故的发生,保障人民的生命财产安全。

As the rate of taxi casualty accidents has been increasing in recent years,in order to analyze the influencing factors of taxi traffic casualty accidents and reduce the rate of taxi traffic accidents.In this paper,the influencing factors of taxi traffic accidents are divided into four categories:human factors,physical factors,environmental factors andmanagement factors.By statistically analyzing the data of taxi casualty accidents and usingmultiple Logistic regressionmodel for analysis,the regressionmodel of taxi casualty accident influencing factors was established by taking human factors,physical factors,environmental factors andmanagement factors as independent variables,and the significant level of human factors andmanagement factors on the occurrence of taxi casualty accidents was obtained by using likelihood ratio test less than 0.05,while physical factors and The results show that human factors andmanagement factors have significant influence on the occurrence of taxi casualties,while environmental factors and vehicle equipment factors have less influence on the occurrence of taxi casualties,among which poor supervision,fatigue driving and failure to wear seat belts are themain causes of taxi casualties,and the government and relevant departments should strengthen the regulation andmanagement of these The government and relevant departments should strengthen the regulation andmanagement of these aspects,in order to reduce and prevent the occurrence of taxi traffic accidents and protect people's lives and properties.