我国智慧养老产业的区域集聚特征和空间发展模式

Regional Agglomeration Characteristics and Spatial Development Model of Smart Elderly Care Industry in China

依托国内“企查查”网站的智慧养老企业数据,采用核密度估计、区位熵、局部莫兰指数与线性回归等方法,探讨我国智慧养老产业的区域集聚特征。研究结果显示:我国智慧养老产业的集聚分布已出现溢出效应且形成六大产业中心;各省份的产业集聚较明显,但省际的产业集聚不够明显;智慧养老的基础产业及工业表现为内陆型集聚,而服务业则呈现沿海型集聚;各省份智慧养老的基础产业、工业和服务业的企业数量与该省份一二三产业GDP显著正相关,同时第一产业GDP对智慧养老企业数量的正向影响最大;智慧养老产业已形成了长三角融合服务模式、粤港澳协同发展模式、成渝竞争发展模式和京津冀均衡发展模式等空间集群发展模式。

Relying on the data of smart elderly care enterprises on the domestic“Qichacha”website,the methods of kernel density estimation,location entropy,local Moran index and linear regression are used to explore the regional agglomeration characteristics of China s smart elderly care industry.The results show that:the distribution of agglomeration has had spillover effects and formed six major industrial centers;the industrial agglomeration within each province is slightly obvious,but the inter-provincial industrial agglomeration is slightly less obvious;the basic industries of smart elderly care show inland-type agglomeration,while the service industry shows coastal agglomeration;the number of enterprises in the basic industries and service industries of smart elderly care in each province is significantly positively correlated with the GDP of the province's primary,secondary and tertiary industries,and the GDP of the primary industry has the greatest positive impact on the number of enterprises.At the same time,China s smart elderly care industry has formed a spatial cluster development of the Yangtze River Delta integrated service model,the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao coordinated development model,the Chengdu-Chongqing competitive development model,and the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei balanced development model.