数字经济发展能否促进城乡融合?——基于劳动力转移视角

Can the Development of Digital Economy Promote Urban-Rural Integration From the Perspective of Labor Transfer

推动数字经济发展是当前我国促进城乡融合的新机遇。本文借助2011-2019年我国30个省(市、区)的面板数据,构建数字经济与城乡融合发展的指标体系,运用固定效应模型、中介效应模型和门槛回归模型,实证检验数字经济发展对城乡融合的影响机制。研究发现:数字经济不仅显著促进了城乡融合,还通过推动劳动力转移促进城乡融合发展;数字经济对城乡融合水平提升存在显著的劳动力转移门槛效应;数字经济发展对城乡融合发展的促进作用存在明显的区域差异性。因此,应加快推动数字经济发展,并结合自身发展情况精准实施数字经济发展政策,破除劳动力转移阻碍,因地制宜推动城乡融合差异化发展。

Promoting digital economic development is currently a new opportunity to promote urban and rural integration.Based on the panel data of 30 provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions) from 2011 to 2019,this paper constructs an indicator system of digital economy and urban-rural integration development.The fixed effect model,intermediary effect model and threshold regression model are mainly used to empirically test the influence mechanism and threshold effect of digital economy development on urban-rural integration.The results show that digital economy not only significantly promotes urban-rural integration directly,but also indirectly promotes urban-rural integration through labor force transfer.Digital economy has a significant labor transfer threshold effect on the improvement of urban and rural integration.There are obvious regional differences in the promoting effect of the development of digital economy on the integration of urban and rural development.Therefore,it is necessary to accelerate the development of digital economy,implement digital economy development policies in accordance with their own development conditions,remove obstacles to labor force transfer,and implement coordinated and differentiated development paths between urban and rural areas.