铁路综合交通枢纽客流预测研究——以重庆东站为例

Research on Passenger Flow Prediction of Railway Comprehensive Transportation Hub——Example of Chongqing East Railway Station

铁路综合交通枢纽是一个复杂的大系统,在枢纽的规划设计中,枢纽内各个配套设施,如公交站场、长途客运站、出租车、网约车、社会车辆停车场等的布局和用地规模都需要以规划年的客流预测结果为依据。本文介绍了综合交通枢纽客流预测的基本方法,提出了客流分析的技术路线,并以重庆东站为例详细分析了枢纽出行需求及服务区出行需求,对重庆东站进一步开展方案设计提供了有力的数据支撑。

Railway comprehensive transportation hub is a complex system.In the planning and design of the hub,the layout and land scale of various supporting facilities in the hub,such as bus stops,long-distance bus stations,taxis,online hailing cars,and social vehicle parking lots,need to be based on the passenger flow prediction results of the planning year.This paper introduces the basic methods of comprehensive transportation hub passenger flow prediction,puts forward the technical route of passenger flow analysis,and takes Chongqing East Railway Station as an example to analyze the hub travel demand and service area travel demand in detail,which provides strong data support for the further scheme design of Chongqing East Railway Station.