“社会-技术”范式视角下突破能源系统碳锁定的政策工具组合研究

Policy Instrument Mixes for the Destabilization of Carbon Lock-in in Energy Systems Based on the Perspective of Socio-Technical Regime

基于“社会-技术”范式视角,分析化石能源“社会-技术”范式的维度构成及内在关联,厘清能源系统碳锁定成因,既而从技术经济、社会认知、权力规则3个维度构建碳锁定突破的政策工具组合框架。在此基础上,运用政策文本分析方法,探讨中国解除高碳化石能源锁定的政策工具实施特征。研究发现:一方面,当前政策实施总体表现为技术经济、社会认知、权力规则三维度的组合特征。另一方面,政策在各维度间的分布不够平衡,导致政策工具组合的协同性不高。其中,权力规则维度下的政策工具比较单薄;尤其在突破非正式规则碳锁定上存在较大的政策空间;社会认知维度下,突破关系网络碳锁定的政策工具相对边缘化。最后,从提升政策工具组合协同性角度,为中国全面破解经济社会发展对化石能源的路径依赖提供启示性政策建议。

Based on the perspective of socio-technical regime,this paper analyzes the reason of fossil fuels lock-in in energy systems and policy instrument mixes for the destabilization of carbon lock-in.And then,it establishes the relevant Chinese policy instrument mixes of technical economy,social cognitive and rules.It discusses the characteristics of Chinese policy tools for unlocking high carbon fossil energy lock-in.Results show that,Chinese policy instrument mixes is totally including dimensions of technical economy,social cognitive and rules.However,it is lack of coordination for three reasons.First,the dimension of rules is addressed by fewer policy instruments.Secondly,the informal rules pattern in the dimension of rules still leaves enough policy space.Third,the social network pattern in the policy dimension of social cognitive is relatively marginal.Finally,it puts forward some suggestions for policy instrument mixes to destabilize Chinese fossil fuels lock-in.