乡村振兴战略下逆城镇化发展影响因素与作用路径探讨

Discussion on Influencing Factors and Action Paths of Promoting Counterurbanization under the Rural Revitalization Strategy

基于相关文献与专家咨询,从外部环境与行为主体两方面,识别推进逆城镇化发展的主要影响因素;运用DEMATEL-ISM集成方法,分析影响因素的中心度和原因度,构建影响因素层次结构模型,以探析促进逆城镇化发展的关键因素及其作用路径。研究结果表明,农村经济发展激励、土地和人才等政策因素,是促进逆城镇化发展的“引擎”;农村多业态发展、交通与物流体系的便捷等因素,也是影响逆城镇化进程的关键因素;当前主要作用路径表现为:经济发展激励政策→交通便捷→农村多业态发展→商业机会→农村多业态发展→农村物流网络完善→城乡产业结构调整。

Based on relevant literature and expert consultation,main influencing factors of promoting counterurbanization were identified from both external environment and individual residents.The centrality and causal degree of influencing factors were analyzed through the DEMATEL-ISM integration method;a hierarchical structure model of influencing factors was established to explore critical factors and their action path of the counterurbanization development.The results showed that,policy factors such as economic incentive policies,land and talent policies were the initiators of promoting the counterurbanization development;factors such as the rural diversified industrial development,convenient transportation and logistics system had an important impact on other factors;the main action path was as follows:economic incentive policies→convenient transportation→rural diversified industrial development→business opportunities→rural diversified industrial development→logistics improvement→urban-rural industrial structure adjustment.