摘要
以扬子江城市群为例,基于多源数据融合技术,系统分析了不同区段过江出行特征,创新重力模型法和增长率法结合,对过江出行总量进行预测,构建了基于综合影响因素的Logit模型对不同方式过江出行进行分析,并提出了跨江融合导向下城市群过江通道规划布局、建设时序、运营管理等方面的发展策略,以期对其他城市群过江通道发展有所借鉴。
It is important to take urban agglomeration as the main body and build a coordinated urban pattern of large,medium,small cities and small towns.In this paper,we took Yangtze River urban agglomeration as an example and systematically analyzed the characteristics of cross-river travel in different sections based on multi-source data fusion technology.Furthermore,combined gravity model and growth rate method were innovatively combined to predict the total cross-river traffic volume,and the Logit model based on comprehensive influencing factors was constructed to analyze different ways of cross-river travel.Finally,we proposed the development strategies of planning layout,construction sequence,operation management and on so of the cross-river channel in urban agglomeration under the guidance of cross-river integration.It is expected to provide reference for the development of other cross-river channel in urban agglomeration.
作者
魏海磊
叶碧青
WEI Hailei;YE Biqing(China Design Group,Nanjing 210014,China)
出处
《综合运输》
2023年第7期154-160,共7页
China Transportation Review
关键词
城市群
跨江融合
过江通道
需求预测
Urban agglomeration
Cross-river integration
Cross-river channel
Demand forecast