基于Kirchhoff分布方程的轨道交通多方式接驳选择解析

Multi-mode Access Selection of Rail Transit Based on Kirchhoff Distribution Equation

轨道交通出行与多种出行方式有效衔接,不仅能充分发挥轨道交通的运输能力,且可以有效利用低碳、环保的出行工具。通过建立接驳方式选择模型,可以研究接驳方式选择概率与多要素之间的关系。本文以厦门市为例,研究使用Kirchhoff分布方程建立接驳方式选择模型,并考虑综合出行成本对选择概率的影响,该方法具有考虑各接驳方式综合成本相对差异、计算简单的优势。结果表明:该方法能够较好地分析轨道交通站点的接驳方式选择,合理推导出站点周边接驳出行选择概率与出行距离的关系,能够一定程度反映接驳需求的空间分布。

Connecting rail transit travel and multiple travel modes effectively,the transportation capacity of rail transit can be put into great play,and the low-carbon and environmental friendly travel tools can also be effectively used.By establishing the connection mode selection model,the relationship between the connection mode selection probability and multiple factors can be studied.Taking Xiamen as an example,the establishment of a connection mode selection model using Kirchhoff distribution equation is studied,considering the impact of comprehensive travel costs on the selection probability.This method has the advantages of considering the relative differences of comprehensive costs of various connection modes and it is simple calculation.The results show that this method can analyze the connection mode selection of rail transit stations,in the meantime,the relationship between the connection trip selection probability and the trip distance around the stations can be reasonably deduced.The spatial distribution of connection demand can be reflected to a certain extent.