公园与人口系统互动关系的典型相关分析——以我国地级市及以上城市为例

Typical Correlation Analysis on the Interaction Between Parks and Population Systems:A Case of the Prefecture-Level City and Above in China

在新时代“以人民为中心”的发展背景下,科学认知公园与人口之间的互动关系是实现城市人居环境高质量发展的理论基础。文章以中国251个地级市及以上城市为研究对象,采用典型相关分析方法探究2006—2019年公园系统与人口系统因素之间的交互作用关系。研究表明:①公园系统与人口系统存在显著的相关性,人口系统对公园系统的影响程度较高;②人口规模是公园总量增加的最基本驱动力,公园总量是人口规模扩张的重要支撑;③人口生活水平是公园服务水平提升的调控外力,公园服务水平是人口生活水平提高的外在动力。研究由表及里定量揭示公园与人口系统的互动关系,以期为制定“以人为本”的公园发展规划提供理论依据。

In the context of“people-centered”development in the new era,scientific knowledge of the interaction between parks and population is the theoretical basis for achieving high-quality urban habitat development.Using 251 prefecture-level cities and above in China as the research objects,the interaction between the park system and the population system from 2006 to 2019 was investigated with a typical correlation analysis method.The study shows that①there is a significant correlation between the park system and the population system,and the population system has a high degree of influence on the park system.②The population size is the most basic driving force for the increase of the total number of parks,and the total number of parks is an important support for the expansion of the population size.③The population living standard is an external regulatory force for the improvement of the park service level,and the park service level is an external driving force for the improvement of the population living standard.The study quantifies the interaction between parks and population systems from the surface to the inside,with a view to provide a theoretical basis for formulating a“people-oriented”park development plan.