辽宁省制造业与生产性服务业产业波及效应研究

Research on the Industrial Ripple Effect of Manufacturing and Productive Service Industries in Liaoning Province

本文基于辽宁省投入产出数据对影响力系数、感应力系数指标进行测算,分析辽宁省制造业与生产性服务业的产业波及效应,结果表明:辽宁省高技术制造业对国民经济的辐射作用增强,感应国民经济发展变化程度不高;中等技术制造业受社会发展的影响程度高于对经济发展的影响程度;低技术制造业经济发展的辐射作用相对较强,受经济变化的拉动作用较明显。生产性服务业对于推动辽宁省经济发展的推动和拉动作用均不明显,需大力发展生产性服务业,以实现区域经济稳定发展。

Based on the input-output data of Liaoning Province,this paper measures the influence coefficient and induction coefficient indexes,analyses the industrial ripple effect of manufacturing industry and productive service industry in Liaoning Province,and the results show that high-tech manufacturing industry in Liaoning Province enhances the radiation effect on the national economy,and inducts the changes in the development of the national economy to a lesser extent;the medium-technology manufacturing industry is affected by the development of society to a higher degree than the degree of influence on the development of the economy;the ripple effect of economic development of low-tech manufacturing industry is relatively strong.and the pulling effect of economic changes is more obvious.The productive service industry is not obvious for promoting Liaoning s economic development in both pushing and pulling roles,and it needs to vigorously develop the productive service industry to achieve the stable development of the regional economy.