皖北“四化同步”综合发展时空差异分析及优化协调新路径构建

Analysis of Space-time Differences in the Comprehensive Development of“Four Modernizations Synchronized”and Construction of a New Path for Optimization and Coordination in Northern Anhui

全力推进皖北振兴是安徽省加入长三角经济区后抓住重要发展机遇的关键。基于皖北“四化”发展现状及综合发展指标体系,利用熵权法分析了2011—2021年皖北“四化同步”综合发展趋势和时空差异特征,构建GM(1,N)驱动力模型探讨了影响“四化同步”综合发展的主要驱动因素。结果表明,皖北“四化同步”综合发展水平显著提升,新型工业化和信息化对“四化同步”综合发展的驱动效果更强,但各市“四化”发展水平时空差异较大。针对分析结果,构建了“四化同步”优质协调发展新路径。

Fully promoting the revitalization of northern Anhui is the key to seizing important development opportunities after Anhui Province joins the Yangtze River Delta Economic Zone.Therefore,based on the development status of the“four modernizations”in northern Anhui and the comprehensive development index system,the entropy weight method was used to analyze the comprehensive development trend and space-time difference characteristics of the“four modernizations synchronization”in northern Anhui in 2011—2021,and the GM(1,N)driving force model was constructed to explore the main driving factors affecting the comprehensive development of the“four modernizations synchronization”.The results show that the comprehensive development level of“four modernizations synchronization”in northern Anhui has significantly improved,the new industrialization and informazation have a stronger driving effect on the comprehensive development of“four modernizations synchronization”.However,there are significant spatiotemporal differences in the development level of“four modernizations”in different cities.Based on the analysis results,a new path for high-quality coordinated development of the“four modernizations synchronization”has been constructed.