贸易品的贸易形态对国际经济发展的影响机制研究

Research on Influence Mechanism of Trade Form of Trade Goods on International Economic Development

在国际贸易中,贸易品的形态主要可以分为中间品贸易和最终品贸易,二者对国际经济发展的贡献存在着明显的差异性。基于此,以11个发展中国家和32个发达国家为研究对象,研究数据主要来源于世界银行和WIOD,通过总体回归和分类回归得到如下研究结论:在总体回归中,在世界范围内,中间品贸易和最终品贸易对国际经济均有显著的正向影响,但是最终品贸易的作用更加强烈。在分样本回归中,当考虑不同的国家类型时,在发达国家与发达国家、发达国家与发展中国家时,中间品贸易和最终品贸易对国际经济均有显著的正向影响。在发展中国家与发展中国家时,最终品贸易成为促进国际经济发展的主要动力,中间品贸易的影响并不显著。

Taking 11 developing countries and 32 developed countries as the research subjects,the research data mainly came from the World Bank and WIOD.Through overall regression and categorical regression,the following research conclusions were drawn:in the overall regression,both intermediate trade and final trade have a significant positive impact on the international economy worldwide,but the role of final trade is stronger.In sample wise regression,when considering different types of countries,intermediate trade and final trade have a significant positive impact on the international economy between developed and developing countries.Among developing countries,final goods trade becomes the main driving force for promoting international economic development,while the impact of intermediate goods trade is not significant.