互联网深化与网络犯罪治理——基于2008~2020年中国裁判文书网数据的实证分析

Internet Penetration and Cybercrime Governance:An Empirical Analysis Based on the China Judicial Documents Network 2008-2020

网络犯罪已成为危害国家政治安全、网络安全、社会安全、经济安全等的重要风险之一,加强网络犯罪治理是实施网络强国、数字中国战略的底板工程。本文以网络赌博犯罪为切入点,基于中国裁判文书网提取2008~2020年中国各地级及以上城市网络赌博犯罪数据,采用空间杜宾模型实证检验互联网深化对网络赌博犯罪的影响和空间溢出效应。研究发现:第一,网络赌博犯罪具有与传统接触类犯罪类似的空间集聚特征,互联网深化不仅对网络赌博犯罪具有推波助澜的效应,而且对周边地区的网络赌博犯罪产生正向的空间溢出效应,经过内生性处理和稳健性检验后该结论仍然成立。第二,互联网深化对网络赌博犯罪的影响具有明显的方向性:发达地区的互联网深化对欠发达地区的网络赌博犯罪产生正向的空间溢出效应,中心城市的互联网深化对非中心城市的网络赌博犯罪产生正向的空间溢出效应;反之则不成立。第三,互联网深化对网络赌博犯罪的空间溢出存在地理衰减特征和边界效应,最强作用距离为500km,衰减边界为800km。研究结论为加强网络安全监管、实施区域差异化防控策略和构建共享共治新格局提供了科学决策依据。

Cybercrime has become one of the important risks endangering national political security,network security,social security,economic security,etc.Strengthening cybercrime governance is the bottom project of implementing the strategy of cyber power and digital China.Taking online gambling crime as the starting point,the data of online gambling crime in cities from 2008 to 2020 were extracted based on the China Judicial Documents Network,and the Spatial Dubin Model was used to test the influence and spatial effect of the internet penetration on online gambling crime.The findings are as follows:Firstly,online gambling crimes have similar spatial agglomeration characteristics to traditional contact crimes.The internet penetration not only promotes online gambling crimes,but also produces positive spatial spillover eff ects on online gambling crimes in surrounding areas.After endogeneity processing and robustness test,this conclusion is still valid.Secondly,the infl uence of internet penetration on online gambling crimes has obvious directivity:the internet penetration in developed areas has a positive spillover eff ect on online gambling crimes in less developed areas,and the internet penetration in central cities has a positive spillover eff ect on online gambling crimes in non-central cities;The reverse is not true.Thirdly,the spatial spillover of online gambling crimes caused by Internet deepening has geographical attenuation characteristics and boundary effect.The maximum effect distance is 500km,and the attenuation boundary is 800km.The conclusions of this study provide scientifi c decision-making basis for strengthening network security supervision,implementing regional differentiated prevention and control strategies,and building a new pattern of sharing and co-governance.