“一带一路”沿线国家旅游合作联系网络结构韧性:综合评估与动因甄别

STRUCTURE RESILIENCE OF TOURISM COOPERATION LINKAGE NETWORK OF COUNTRIES ALONG THE BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE:COMPREHENSIVE EVALUATION AND MOTIVATION IDENTIFICATION

科学探究旅游合作联系网络结构韧性对沿线国家应对外界挑战与提升受损恢复能力具有重要意义。测度旅游合作联系、建构韧性评估体系,从“整体—局部”尺度揭示沿线国家旅游合作联系网络结构韧性的演化特征,诊断其障碍因子,利用空间面板回归甄别关键动因。研究发现:①旅游合作联系网络结构韧性呈趋好态势、具有显著的区域特征。中国—东盟—东亚、西亚、中东欧网络结构韧性呈递增趋势,南亚、独联体网络结构韧性相对稳定。②鲁棒性、传递性与层级性是网络结构韧性的主要障碍因子。③多元网络的结构韧性共同影响旅游合作联系网络结构韧性。安全、治理和经济等差异网络的结构韧性起促进作用,而消费水平差异网络的结构韧性则起抑制作用。

It is of great significance to scientifically explore the network structure resilience for enhancing the capacity of tourism cooperation of countries to cope with external challenges and recover from damage.On the basis of measuring tourism cooperation linkage of countries and constructing the evaluation system of network structure resilience,we revealed the evolution characteristics of the network structure resilience of tourism cooperation linkage of the BRI from different scales of"overall-local",diagnose the barrier factors,and verify the key factors by using spatial panel regression.This study found that the structure resilience of tourism cooperation linkage network showed a tendency to improve and significant regional characteristics.The structure resilience of China-ASEAN-East Asia,West Asia,and Central and Eastern Europe regional network were increasing,while the structure resilience of South Asia and Commonwealth of Independence States regional network were relatively stable.In addition,the structure resilience of multiple networks jointly affected the structure resilience of tourism cooperation linkage network.Among them,the difference network structure resilience of security,governance and economic could positively enhance the structure resilience of tourism cooperation linkage network,while the network structure resilience of consumption level difference could suppress the network structure resilience.