广西产业关联及其演变趋势分析

Analysis of Industrial Correlation and Its Evolving Trend in Guangxi

文章采用投入产出分析模型,分别测算了2012年、2017年广西投入产出表中42产业部门的感应度系数、影响力系数,通过对比分析各产业部门的产业关联情况及其演化变动情况,分析了广西42产业部门所归属第一、二、三产业的变化特征,并通过矩阵“三角化”方法处理投入产出表数据,分别识别出广西2012年及2017年核心产业集群,并分析其演化特点。研究结果表明,2012—2017年广西第一产业关联能力下降;第二产业支撑发展动力不足;第三产业整体疲软,但是以金融产业部门为核心的“金融产业集群”发展潜力初具规模。

By using the input-output analysis model,this paper calculates the induction coefficient and influence coefficient of 42 industrial sectors in the input-output table of Guangxi in 2012 and 2017,and analyzes the change characteristics of the first,second and third industries of 42 industrial sectors in Guangxi by comparing and analyzing the industry correlation and evolution of each industry sector.Through the matrix"triangulation"method to process the input-output table data,the core industrial clusters of Guangxi in 2012 and 2017 were identified respectively,and their evolution characteristics were analyzed.The results show that the correlation ability of Guangxi's primary industry declined during 2012 to 2017;the secondary industry lacks the driving force to support development;the tertiary industry as a whole is weak,but the development potential of the"financial industry cluster"with the financial industry as the core has begun to take shape.