面向需求响应的电力用户行为建模:研究现状与应用

Electricity user behavior modeling for demand response:research status quo and applications

通过建模理解电力用户行为,有助于在需求响应中有效引导用户灵活用电,从而挖掘负荷侧的灵活性。面向需求响应场景的实际需求,系统梳理电力用户行为建模的研究现状与应用。分析并总结电力用户行为建模的研究进展,包括用户行为特性描绘、用户行为解析和用户行为定量建模3个不同层次。梳理电力用户行为建模在需求响应中的主要应用方向,包括需求响应潜力评估、考虑需求响应的能源系统协同优化、负荷零售商定价和考虑需求响应的市场机制设计。讨论现有电力用户行为建模研究所面临的不完全信息条件、用户的有限理性等实际问题,并对未来的研究方向进行展望。

Understanding electricity user behavior through modeling helps effectively guide user electricity consumption in demand response,thereby exploiting the flexibility of demand side.For the practical needs of demand response applications,the research status quo and applications of electricity user behavior modeling are systematically reviewed.The research progress of electricity user behavior modeling is analyzed and summarized,including three different levels of the depiction of use behavior characteristics,the analysis of use behavior,and the quantitative modeling of user behavior.The main application directions of electricity user behavior modeling in demand response are outlined,including demand response potential assessment,coordinated optimization of energy system considering demand response,load aggregator pricing,and market mechanism design considering demand response.The practical issues faced by the existing research on electricity user behavior modeling are discussed,such as incomplete information and user irrationality,and the future research directions are looked forward to.