中国碳排放治理成效与绿色增加值结构分解

China's Carbon Emission Control Effectiveness and Structural Decomposition of Green Value-added

从党的十八大到党的二十大,是中国新时代伟大变革的十年,亦是新发展理念提出贯彻实施的十年。研究基于碳排放和碳治理拓展的投入产出表,从经济效益和环境治理两个视角,综合考察中国各行业在新时代十年碳排放治理成效并对绿色增加值进行结构分解,发现:在大部分行业碳排放减少、绿色生产能力提升的正向转变形势下,部分能源型“高碳”行业的碳排放程度却不降反升、绿色生产能力不升反降。行业结构升级、技术进步等供给侧动能为绿色经济增长贡献了主要力量。在实现“双碳”目标的过程中,其他服务业等行业应侧重于补足行业短板,激发乘数效应推动绿色增加值提升,而机械设备制造业及其他制造业等行业间结构调整影响程度更大的行业,应利用行业间的技术溢出及结构优化带动产业链整体绿色化转型。

From the 18th C.P.C National Congress to the 20th C.P.C National Congress,the decade of China's great changes in the new era is also the decade of the proposal and implementation of the new development concept.Based on the input-output table expanded by carbon emissions and carbon governance,this paper comprehensively examines the carbon emissions and carbon governance effectiveness of various industries in China in the new era for ten years from the perspectives of economic benefits and environmental governance,and makes structural decomposition of green added value.Under the positive transformation situation of reducing carbon emissions and improving green production capacity in most industries,the carbon emissions of some energy-based"high carbon"industries are rising,and green production capacity is falling.Supply-side drivers such as industrial structure upgrading and technological progress have contributed mainly to green economic growth.In the process of achieving the"Goal of Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality",other industries such as other services sector should focus on making up the weak links of the industry and stimulate the multiplier effect to promote the increase of green added value.