文化集聚、旅游集聚与旅游经济发展——基于非线性、共轭驱动和空间外溢

Cultural Agglomeration,Tourism Agglomeration and Tourism Economic Development——Based on Nonlinearity,Conjugate Driving,and Spatial Overflow

文化是推动旅游经济发展的重要动力,集聚发展是提高旅游要素效率、增强竞争力的重要方式。基于此,选取2012—2019年中国96个大型城市面板数据,利用区位熵的研究方法系统考察文化集聚、旅游集聚与旅游经济发展的非线性关系、共轭驱动及空间外溢现象。结果表明:(1)文化集聚与旅游经济发展之间具有明显的倒U型关系,旅游集聚可以调节这种倒U型。(2)就全样本城市而言,文化集聚和旅游集聚整体背离共轭状态;异质性分析表明省会城市文化集聚与旅游集聚保持着协同发展的共轭状态;非省会城市文化集聚和旅游集聚尚未对城市旅游经济增长形成协同发展的正向互动关系。(3)空间外溢中本地旅游经济受到文化集聚的长期影响,对邻近地区仅存在短期负向影响,而旅游集聚在长短期内均能发挥其调节作用。

Culture is an important driving force for the development of tourism economy,and agglomeration development is an important way to improve the efficiency of tourism factors and enhance competitiveness.Based on the panel data of 96 large cities in China from 2012 to 2019,the research method of location entropy was used to systematically investigate the nonlinear relationship,conjugate driving and spatial overflow of cultural agglomeration,tourism agglomeration and tourism economic development.The results show that:(1)There is an obvious inverted U-shaped relationship between cultural agglomeration and tourism economic development,and tourism agglomeration can regulate this inverted U-shape.(2)For the whole sample city,cultural agglomeration and tourism agglomeration as a whole deviate from the conjugate state;The heterogeneity analysis shows that cultural agglomeration and tourism agglomeration in provincial capitals maintain a conjugate state of coordinated development.Cultural agglomeration and tourism agglomeration in non-provincial capital cities have not yet formed a positive interactive relationship of coordinated development of urban tourism economic growth.(3)In spatial overflow,local tourism economics are subject to long-term impacts from cultural agglomeration,with only short-term negative impacts on neighboring areas,while tourism agglomeration plays a regulatory role in both the short and long term.