基于时间序列的英语课程实效性量化自动评估方法

A Quantitative Automatic Evaluation Method for the Effectiveness of English Courses Based on Time Series

目前的英语课程实效性评估方法进行评估时,没有通过时间序列进行预测,导致评估效率较低、评估开销较大以及评估结果可信度较低。提出基于时间序列的英语课程实效性量化自动评估方法,利用时间序列对课程实效性进行预测,建立预测数据模型,完成对课程时效性的预测,采用层次分析法构建英语课程实效性评价指标体系,确定指标权重,对指标进行一致性检验,构建模糊评判矩阵,经过计算获取评价等级,最终实现对英语课程时效性的评估。实验结果表明,所提方法降低了评估开销的同时,提高了评估效率以及评估结果的可信度。

The current English curriculum effectiveness evaluation methods do not predict by time series,which leads to low efficiency,high cost and low credibility of evaluation results.This paper proposes a quantitative automatic evaluation method of English curriculum effectiveness based on time series.It uses time series to predict the effectiveness of the curriculum,establishes a prediction data model,and completes the prediction of the timeliness of the curriculum.It uses the analytic hierarchy process to construct the evaluation index system of English curriculum effectiveness,determines the weight of the index,checks the consistency of the index,and constructs a fuzzy evaluation matrix.Finally,we can evaluate the timeliness of English curriculum.Experimental results show that the proposed method can reduce the cost of evaluation,improve the efficiency of evaluation and the credibility of evaluation results.