制造业与服务业协同对中国经济高质量发展影响研究

A Study on the Impact of Synergy Between Manufacturing and Service Industries on the High-Quality Development of China’s Economy

基于产业耦合协调度模型,使用2013―2019年中国省级面板数据,测算各省市制造业与服务业产业协同度,并根据我国经济增长实情和五大发展理念构建经济高质量发展指标体系,实证考察制造业和服务业协同发展对经济高质量发展的影响及其空间效应。结果表明,两类产业协同能显著促进当地经济高质量发展,部分效能通过产业结构升级中介实现。空间杜宾模型显示,两类产业协同发展不仅促进当地经济发展质量提升,而且存在着对于周边地区的空间溢出效应。最后,根据研究结果,为促进产业协同发展、优化产业结构和提高经济发展质量提出政策建议。

Firstly,this paper calculates the degree of synergy between the manufacturing and service industries of each province with the help of industrial coupling coordination model based on China’s provincial panel data from 2013 to 2019.Then,according to the facts of China’s economic growth and the five development ideas,this paper constructs the index system of high-quality economic development,and empirically examines the influence of the synergetic development of manufacturing and service industries on the high-quality economic development and its spatial effect.The results show that the synergy between the two industries can significantly promote the high-quality development of local economy,and part of the efficiency can be achieved through the industrial structure upgrading.The spatial Dubin model shows that the synergetic development of the two industries not only improves the quality of local economic development,but also has a spatial spillover effect on the surrounding areas.According to the research results,policy suggestions are put forward to promote the synergetic development of industries,optimize the industrial structure and improve the quality of economic development.