乡村地域系统韧性类型识别与驱动机制研究——以豫东平原区商丘市睢阳区为例

Identification of rural regional system resilience types and driving mechanism:Taking Suiyang District,Shangqiu City as an example

科学探究乡村地域系统韧性对于重构乡村发展路径与乡村振兴具有重要意义。论文构建“要素支撑力—结构抵抗力—功能适应力”分析框架,以豫东平原区商丘市睢阳区为例,挖掘乡村地域系统韧性特征,进而建立“数理—机理”融合的乡村地域系统韧性适应性类型识别定位方法,甄别系统韧性类型,并借助地理探测器探究影响乡村地域系统韧性驱动机制。结果表明:(1)乡村地域系统韧性、要素支撑力、结构抵抗力和功能适应力指数空间分异明显,存在显著正向聚集性,其中要素支撑力正向空间聚集性最为显著。(2)类型识别发现,优势发展型行政村30个,规模占比为9.74%;稳健提升型行政村67个,规模占比为21.86%;整治改善型行政村88个,规模占比为30.32%;传统控制型行政村118个,规模占比为38.08%。(3)商丘市睢阳区乡村地域系统韧性强弱是由多个驱动因素共同作用的结果,其中,政策扶持力度、人均收入和区位优势度是主导因子。同时,在外源扰动和内核驱动的双重作用下,乡村地域系统韧性通过政策调控机制、内生动力机制、区位催化机制和生态约束机制四维驱动差异引致乡村发展路径分化。

Scientifically exploring rural regional system resilience is of great significance for reconstructing rural development paths and rural revitalization.By examining the connotation of rural regional system resilience,this study constructed an evaluation indicator system of"factor support-structural resistance-functional adaptability",and explored the resilience characteristics.An integrated statistical analysis-mechanism identification method was used to identify resilience types.Then,the driving mechanism of resilience of the rural regional system was explored with the help of geographic detectors.The results show that:1)The spatial differentiation of rural regional system resilience,factor support,structural resistance,and functional adaptability was obvious,and there was significant positive aggregation,among which the positive spatial aggregation of factor support force was the most significant.2)According to the"statistical analysis-mechanism identification"resilience adaptive type identification method,there are 30 advantage-oriented administrative villages,accounting for 9.74%of the total;there are 67 stable and upgraded administrative villages,accounting for 21.86%of the total;there are 88 administrative villages with improvement type,accounting for 30.32%of the total;and there are 118 traditional control administrative villages,accounting for 38.08%of the total.3)The level of rural regional system resilience in Suiyang District of Shangqiu City is the result of a combination of influencing factors,among which policy support,per capita income,and location advantage are the leading factors.Under the dual effects of external disturbances and internal drives,rural regional system resilience leads to the differentiation of rural development paths through policy regulation mechanism,endogenous dynamic mechanism,location advantage mechanism,and ecological constraint mechanism.