目标约束对区域经济高质量发展影响研究——以中部地区地级城市为例

Research on the Influence of Target Restriction on High-quality Economic Development:Take the Regional Cities in the Central Region as an Example

提升经济发展质量是中部地区函需思考和研究的问题。本文使用Olley-Pakes的半参数三步估计法来测度全要素生产率,用以度量经济高质量发展,并测算了中部地区80个地级市2004年和2018年的经济发展质量指数。根据测算结果可知,2004年平均全要素生产率为15.2076,2018年平均全要素生产率达到17.0079。总体来看,近年来中部地区的全要素生产率处于不断上升的趋势。随之实证分析了经济增长目标如何影响中部地区经济发展质量,结果发现经济增长目标对中部地区经济发展质量的作用显著为负;以财政分权为中介变量,分析了其中的内在机制,结果发现间接效应的系数为-0.068。财政分权作为中间传导机制发挥了负向中介效应。

To improve the quality of economic development is an urgent problem to be considered and studied in the central region.This paper uses Olley-Pakes'semi-parameter three-step estimation method to measure total factor productivity to measure high-quality economic development,and calculates the economic development quality index of 80 prefecture-level cities in the central region in 2004 and 2018.According to the calculation results,the average total factor productivity of the central region is 15.2076 in 2004,and 17.0079 in 2018.Generally speaking,the total factor productivity of the central region has been on the rise in recent years.Then it empirically analyzes how the economic growth target affects the quality of economic development in the central region,the results show that the economic growth target has a negative effect on the quality of economic development in the central region;taking fiscal decentralization as the intermediary variable,the internal mechanism is analyzed,and the results show that the coefficient of indirect effect is-0.068.As an intermediary transmission mechanism,fiscal decentralization exerts a negative intermediary effect.