城市交通拥堵治理的系统研究

Research on Urban Traffic Congestion Control Based on System Dynamics

随着城市交通的供需矛盾突出,拥堵问题日益严重,除了城市居民的正常流动外,城市物流的运转也对它产生了严重影响,阻碍了城市经济发展。本文主要使用系统动力学方法分析城市交通拥堵的原因与各因素之间的关联关系,分析决定主导结构的六个关键变量,建立控制城市交通拥堵的系统反馈结构模型,利用动态反馈原理从居民出行和城市物流、交通投资和经济发展等多个角度分析,提出了私家车限行限号、提升道路投资及公共交通服务水平等对策。

With the prominent contradiction between supply and demand in urban traffic and the increasingly serious congestion problem,the operation of urban logistics has also had a serious impact on it and hindered the development of urban economy in addition to the normal flow of urban residents.This paper mainly uses the system dynamics method to analyze the relationship between the causes of urban traffic congestion and various factors,analyzes the six key variables that determine the dominant structure,establishes a system feedback structure model for controlling urban traffic congestion,and uses dynamic feedback principles to analyze from multiple perspectives such as peace,urban logistics,transportation investment,and economic development.The paper puts forward countermeasures such as restrictions on private cars,improving road investment and public transportation services.