新发展格局下消费升级对高新技术产业发展的影响研究

Research on the Impact of Consumption Upgrading on the Development of High-tech Industries under the Dual Circulation

新发展格局下,推动消费升级,促进高新技术产业发展对中国经济高质量发展具有重要意义。本文基于2007年到2021年省级面板数据,对消费升级和高新技术产业发展的关系进行测度,利用双向固定效应模型对相关变量进行基准回归,并进一步进行传导机制分析、异质性分析和稳健性检验。研究发现消费升级对高新技术产业的技术研发投入、人力资本以及固定资产规模都有显著的正向影响,并且通过中介传导效应,对高新技术产业的产出有显著促进作用。分区域来看,消费升级对东部地区高新技术产业的技术研发投入、人力资本和固定资产规模具有显著促进作用。

In the new development paradigm,promoting consumption upgrading and facilitating the development of high-tech industries are of significant importance to China's high-quality economic development.This article is based on panel data from provincial levels between 2007 and 2021 to measure the relationship between consumption upgrading and the development of high-tech industries.The study employs a two-way fixed effects model for baseline regression of the relevant variables,and further conducts analyses on transmission mechanisms,heterogeneity,and robustness.The research findings indicate that consumption upgrading has a significant positive impact on the technological research and development(RD) investment,human capital,and fixed asset scale of high-tech industries,and through the mediation effect,it also significantly promotes the output of high-tech industries.When examining different regions,consumption upgrading has a significant promoting effect on the technological RD investment,human capital,and fixed asset scale of high-tech industries in the eastern region.