新辟国际航线市场旅客需求预测

Passenger Demand Forecast for New International Airline Market

对于航空公司来说航线是其重要资源,与经济效益息息相关。而国际新航线的开辟与否,需要考虑很多影响因素。论文以国际航线为主要研究对象,通过对航线旅客需求的特征和影响因素的深入分析,结合引力模型和多项Logit模型,以解决新辟国际航线市场旅客需求预测相关问题。论文最终通过实例计算进行验证,结果表明该模型具有一定实际参考意义。

For airlines,route is an important resource,closely related to economic benefits.The opening of new international routes or not,need to consider a lot of factors.This paper takes international airlines as the main research object,through the in-depth analysis of the characteristics and influencing factors of airline passenger demand,combined with gravity model and multiple Logit models,in order to solve the new international airline market passenger demand forecast related problems.Finally,an example is used to verify the model,and the results show that the model has some practical reference significance.