经济政策不确定性对服务贸易质量的影响研究

Research on the Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the Quality of Trade in Services

本文基于1997—2021年中国与25个其他国家的服务贸易相关数据,运用扩展的贸易引力模型,以中国为研究主体,分析经济政策不确定性对中国服务贸易质量的影响。结果表明,贸易对象国与中国的经济政策不确定性对中国的服务贸易质量产生异质性影响;贸易对象国的经济政策不确定性与中国服务贸易质量成正相关关系,经济政策不确定性会抑制中国服务贸易质量的发展。

This paper analyses the impact of economic policy uncertainty on the quality of China’s trade in services based on the data related to China’s trade in services with 25 other countries from 1997 to 2021,using the extended trade gravity model with China as the main body of the study.The results show that the economic policy uncertainty of trade target countries and China has a heterogeneous impact on the quality of China’s trade in services;the economic policy uncertainty of trade target countries is positively correlated with the quality of China’s trade in services,and economic policy uncertainty inhibits the quality of China’s trade in services.