珠三角典型城镇中长期需水预测分析——以小榄镇为例

Prediction and Analysis of Medium and Long Term Water Demand in Typical Cities and Towns in the Pearl River Delta:A Case Study of Xiaolan Town in Zhongshan

为做好珠三角典型城镇中长期需水预测,以小榄镇为研究对象,以广东省最新用水定额为依据,在合理预测区域经济社会情况以及对比分析用水量趋势和用水效率的基础上,采用分类指标法预测了小榄镇2025年和2030年的需水量,并总结了区域中长期需水预测中人口、经济社会指标确定依据以及用水定额指标选取原则。

In order to proficiently predict the medium and long term water demand in a representative town in the Pearl River Delta Area,with Xiaolan Town as the research object,according to the latest water consumption quotas in Guangdong province,and based on rational assessments of the regional socioeconomic situations and comparative analysis of water consumption trends and water use efficiency,this paper uses a categorical index approach to predict the water requirements of Xiaolan Town in the years 2025 and 2030.The criteria of population and socioeconomic indexes and the selection principles of water consumption quotas for regional medium and long term prediction of water demand are also summarized.