数智融合发展对中国减污降碳协同治理的影响研究

Research on the Impact of Digital Intelligence Integration Development on Collaborative Governance of Pollution Reduction and Carbon Reduction in China

新发展阶段中国生态文明建设进入减污降碳协同治理的关键时期.数字化和智能化的新技术、新基础设施、新工艺装备、新场景应用为减污降碳协同增效提供了重大契机与技术支撑.为研究数智融合发展对减污降碳的协同治理作用,构建2011−2020年我国30个省(自治区、直辖市)数智融合发展指数与减污降碳协同指数评价指标体系(不包括西藏自治区和港澳台地区数据,下同),并对二者时空演变特征进行分析,运用多元线性回归模型分析数智融合发展对减污降碳协同治理的影响.结果表明:2011−2020年中国数智融合发展呈现明显的上升态势与区域聚集性,其中2020年广东省数智融合发展水平以0.730领先全国;减污降碳协同水平呈明显上升趋势.数智融合发展可以显著促进地区减污降碳的协同治理,但存在较强的区域异质性特征.同时,数智融合发展可以通过提高科技创新水平、优化能源生产结构对减污降碳的协同治理产生显著的间接影响.因此,应大力推动中国数智融合发展,夯实数智融合驱动减污降碳协同治理的理论体系,有效发挥数智融合这一数字经济新形态对减污降碳的协同治理作用.

At present,China is promoting the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation with Chinese-style modernization comprehensively,taking‘promoting harmonious coexistence between man and nature’as an important part of the essential requirements of Chinese-style modernization,and promoting green development and harmonious coexistence between human and nature.At the same time,China′s ecological civilization construction also faces two strategic tasks of achieving fundamental improvement in the ecological environment,carbon peaking and carbon neutrality,which further highlights the requirements of multi-objective governance of the ecological environment.Coordinated promotion of pollution reduction and carbon emission reduction has become an inevitable choice for the comprehensive green transformation of China's economic and social development in the new development stage.Digital and intelligent new technologies,new infrastructure,new process equipment,and new scenario applications provide major opportunities and technical support for collaborative pollution and carbon reduction.To study the synergistic governance effect of digital and intelligent integration development on pollution reduction and carbon reduction,an innovative evaluation index system for digital and intelligent integration development index and pollution reduction and carbon reduction synergy index in 30 provinces(autonomous regions,municipalities)of China from 2011 to 2020 was constructed(excluding the data of Tibet Autonomous Region,Hong Kong Special Administrative Region,Macao Special Administrative Region and Taiwan Province of China).The spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of the two were analyzed,and a multiple linear regression model was constructed to analyze the impact of digital and intelligent integration development on pollution reduction and carbon reduction synergistic governance.The research results indicate that during the measurement period,the development of digital and intelligent integration in China showed a significant upward trend and regional agglomeration,with Guangdong Province leading the country in terms of digital and intelligent integration development level by 0.730 in 2020.At the same time,the synergistic effects of pollution reduction and carbon reduction in China are showing a significant upward trend.The integration of digital and intelligent development can significantly promote collaborative governance of regional pollution reduction and carbon reduction,but there are strong regional heterogeneity characteristics.At the same time,the integration of digital and intelligent development can have a significant indirect impact on the collaborative governance of pollution reduction and carbon reduction by improving the level of technological innovation and adjusting the path of energy production structure.Therefore,China should vigorously promote the integration of digital and intelligent development,consolidate the theoretical system of collaborative governance driven by digital and intelligent integration for pollution reduction and carbon reduction,and effectively play the role of digital and intelligent integration as a new form of digital economy in collaborative governance of pollution reduction and carbon reduction.